Local Volatility: From the Implied Vol Surface to Risk-Neutral Dynamics

Why This Matters In an earlier article we constructed the implied volatility surface and used it primarily to price vanilla options. But a great deal of what trades is not vanilla. Products like barriers and autocallables depend on the path the underlying takes, not only where it lands. Suppose I price a barrier by Monte Carlo. At each step the spot sits at some level, and I need a volatility to advance it. What vol do I use? The surface gives me a vol for every strike, but simulation does not ask about strikes. It asks what volatility the spot experiences at this level, at this moment, which the surface cannot answer. ...

July 23, 2026

Constructing the Implied Volatility Surface: From Market Quotes to an Arbitrage-Free Fit

Why This Matters For vanilla options, the simple models are usually sufficient. A plain call or put can be priced off Black-Scholes directly; you often do not need to reach for local volatility or a stochastic volatility model. Those heavier models earn their place with exotics, where the payoff depends on how the smile behaves rather than just its level today. For a vanilla, you take the market’s implied volatility at the relevant strike and maturity and feed it into Black-Scholes. But that assumes a volatility surface already exists: before Black-Scholes can price anything, the surface it reads from has to be built, and building it is less straightforward than it appears. ...

June 26, 2026